Current:Home > NewsSignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center:In a surprise, the job market grew strongly in April despite high interest rates -FinanceMind
SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center:In a surprise, the job market grew strongly in April despite high interest rates
PredictIQ View
Date:2025-04-07 23:39:56
Hiring unexpectedly accelerated last month despite the weight of rising interest rates and SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Centerthe recent stress in the banking system.
U.S. employers added 253,000 jobs in April, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday, a significant uptick from the month before.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in April from 3.5% in March. The unemployment rate for African Americans fell to 4.7% — a record low.
However, job gains for February and March were revised down by a total of 149,000 jobs.
Many service industries continued to add workers, to keep pace with growing demand for travel, entertainment and dining out.
"Strong hiring for airlines and hotels and restaurants is largely offsetting the weakness elsewhere," said Julia Pollak, chief economist for the job search website ZipRecruiter.
Bars and restaurants added 25,000 jobs in April, while business services added 43,000. Health care added 40,000 jobs.
Meanwhile, industries such as construction and manufacturing that are particularly sensitive to interest rates also added jobs last month. Builders added 15,000 jobs in April while factories added 11,000.
The gains come even as interest rates have jumped sharply over the last 14 months as the Federal Reserve tries to crack down on inflation.
How the volatility in banks impacts the job market
The outlook for the labor market remains uncertain, however.
Recent turmoil in the banking system could act as another brake on hiring by making credit harder to come by. Many banks have grown more cautious about making loans, following the collapse of two big regional banks in March and a third this week.
"If small businesses can't borrow, they won't be able to add new location. They won't be able to buy new equipment," Pollak said. "So we could see a pull-back in small business hiring."
While the overall job market remains tight, with unemployment matching a half-century low, there are signs of softening. Job openings declined nearly 15% between December and March, while layoffs rose 22% during that time.
The number of people quitting their job has also fallen in recent months, suggesting workers are less confident about finding and keeping a new job.
"People are not inclined to jump when they're the last one in [and the] first one out," said Tim Fiore, who conducts a monthly survey of factory managers for the Institute for Supply Management.
Wages are a key focus area for the Fed
For much of the last two years, the Federal Reserve has worried that the job market was out of balance, with demand for workers far outstripping the number of people looking for jobs.
That imbalance appeared to be righting itself in the first three months of the year, when more than 1.7 million people joined or rejoined the workforce.
"People are coming off the sidelines and back into the labor market," said Nela Richardson, chief economist for the payroll processing company ADP. "That's good for the economy. It's also good for the inflation environment."
But some of those gains were reversed in April, when 43,000 people dropped out of the job market.
Average hourly wages in April were 4.4% higher than a year ago, compared to a revised 4.3% annual increase in March, the Labor Department said Friday.
Those figures may understate workers' actual wage gains though, since much of the recent job growth has come in relatively low-wage industries, which skews the average lower.
A separate report from the department, which corrects for that, shows annual wage gains closer to 5%.
veryGood! (93)
Related
- At site of suspected mass killings, Syrians recall horrors, hope for answers
- Settle in for the spy-show pleasures of 'The Night Agent'
- Parisians overwhelmingly vote to expel e-scooters from their streets
- 5 new YA books that explore the magic of the arts and the art of magic
- Taylor Swift makes surprise visit to Kansas City children’s hospital
- David Axelrod on President Poundstone and the political importance of turkey legs
- Stranger Things' David Harbour Shares Heartfelt Reaction to Noah Schnapp's Coming Out
- How a hand gesture dominated a NCAA title game and revealed a double standard
- DoorDash steps up driver ID checks after traffic safety complaints
- Lance Reddick, star of 'John Wick' and 'The Wire,' dead at 60
Ranking
- The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
- 'Air' is a soleless podia-pic about the origins of a shoe
- 'Love at Six Thousand Degrees' is a refreshing inversion of the trauma narrative
- Beatbox champion Kaila Mullady on the secret of boots and cats
- Travis Hunter, the 2
- In 'Showing Up,' Michelle Williams just wants to make some art
- Sam Waterston on being the most recognizable pretend lawyer in New York
- Marvel's 'Moon Girl and Devil Dinosaur' is a stone cold groove
Recommendation
B.A. Parker is learning the banjo
The Bachelor's Rachael Kirkconnell's Fitness Essentials Include a Pick Inspired by Matt James
How these art sleuths reunited a family after centuries apart
Jeremy Renner attends the premiere of new series just months after snowplow accident
Juan Soto to be introduced by Mets at Citi Field after striking record $765 million, 15
Netflix delayed the live reunion of 'Love is Blind,' but didn't say why
Inside Rihanna and A$AP Rocky's Road to Parenthood, From Just Friends to Growing Family
An ode to playlists, the perfect kind of sonic diary